Regulations Discourage Search for Magic Bullet Cures

The so-called “Inflation Reduction Act” mandates that several of the biggest blockbuster drugs must have prices negotiated between Medicare and Pharma firms. As the commentary quoted below suggests, this creates an incentive for Pharma firms to develop many middling drugs rather than a couple of blockbuster drugs. Paul Ehrlich’s “magic bullet” may be impossible, but we will never know if no-one is trying to discover it.creates an

(p. B10) A true home run in the drug industry is when a company develops a mega-blockbuster that transforms its finances for years.

But with Medicare trying to bring costs down by targeting the industry’s most expensive drugs, a portfolio of medium-size moneymakers that can keep your name off the U.S. government’s naughty list can be a wise strategy.

That is at least one reason why big pharma is investing heavily in biotech companies developing antibody-drug conjugates. Known as ADCs, these treatments work like a guided missile by pairing antibodies with toxic agents to fight cancer. In short, they enable a more targeted form of chemotherapy that goes straight into the cancer cells while minimizing harm to healthy cells.

. . .

One reason most ADCs aren’t likely to become mega-blockbusters like Keytruda, a cancer immunotherapy that has earned 35 approvals across 16 types of cancer, is that they aren’t one-size-fits-all drugs. Instead, they are designed to target a specific protein that is expressed on the surface of a cancer cell. That means that each drug is made with an antibody targeting a subset of cancer. There are more than 100 ADCs being tested in humans by pharma and biotech companies.

For the full commentary see:

David Wainer. “Heard on the Street; Drug Industry’s Secret Weapon: ‘Guided Missiles’.” The Wall Street Journal (Friday, Oct. 27, 2023 [sic]): B10.

(Note: ellipsis added.)

(Note: the online version of the commentary has the date October 26, 2023 [sic], and has the title “Heard on the Street; ‘Guided Missile Drugs’ Could Be Big Pharma’s Secret Weapon.”)

Dislodging Entrenched Special Interests Requires the Courage to Be the Target of Ill-Will

Many years ago, for reasons I forget, I listened to an interview posted online with Charlie Munger, who for decades was Warren Buffett’s sidekick at Berkshire Hathaway. One portion of Munger’s comments struck me as particularly insightful, so insightful, that I replayed that portion several times so I could write down a rough transcript of the comments. I am posting that rough transcript a few paragraphs below.

A lot of progress in healthcare, and in the world more broadly, depends on individual heroes who have the courage to be the target of ill-will in order to champion truth and virtue, against the powerful special interests that benefit from falsehood and corruption. Those who speak out are often cancelled and have their careers ruined. We remember a few of the names of those who eventually were vindicated. For example Ignaz Semmelweis was cancelled by the medical establishment for arguing that doctors should wash their hands before delivering babies. He eventually was vindicated and remembered, though long after he died of a beating in an insane asylum. Several much-more-recent examples can be found in Marty Makary’s thought-provoking Blind Spots. (Makary has been named by President-Elect Trump to head the Food and Drug Administration.)

Those like Semmelweis who suffered but were vindicated, are painful to ponder. How much more painful to ponder are those who fought the good fight but were never vindicated, and so are utterly forgotten? We justly honor the unknown soldier. We should find a way to also justly honor the unknown speaker of truth to power.

I cringe at Donald Trump’s occasional rudeness and bullying, but I hope that his courage to be the target of ill-will, allow him to succeed in unbinding the entrepreneurs who create breakthrough innovations.

Below is my transcript of a small portion of Charlie Munger’s comments at the University of Michigan in 2010. My memory is that Munger made his comments in answers to expansive questions from Becky Quick as part of a celebration to honor Munger’s donations to the University of Michigan. Munger’s story below is from health care, but the moral from the story applies much more broadly. (Munger’s interest in health care led him to chair the board of trustees of Good Samaritan Hospital in Los Angeles for over 30 years.)

And so there’s a lot of abuse in health care. And one of the ways you fix it is to, is for the people who have the power, they exercise it to prevent the abuse.

In a lot of places you have live and let live, in the hospitals it’s live and let live, because nobody wants to criticize anybody. That’s a huge mistake, a huge mistake.

In our leading academic hospitals (I’m sure this isn’t happening in Michigan); [1:41:03 of recording] but I have a friend whose daughter is head of infectious diseases and something at a medical school hospital, a great hospital.

And of course the doctors there are fishing the patients out of nursing homes, and bringing them in so they can walk by the beds, and bill them. And they are bringing in these terrible infections. And that takes a lot of treatment, and a lot of walks by the bed, and so on, and so on.

Of course the parents of this particular doctor recognize that she is sort of risking her life going through medical school because of the abuse of the system by some of the doctors in a hospital where nobody is stopping the abuse.

It’s like Burke said, for evil to triumph in the world, all that is necessary is that good men do nothing. And all over America some people are intervening to stop some of these abuses. And, and you have to identify them; you have to rationalize them; you have to be willing to take the ill-will.

I have a friend, this is another wonderful story on human nature, chief of the medical staff, southern California hospital.

A bunch of non-board-certified anesthesiologists, who came out of, I forget the sub-branch of medicine; but it’s not, it’s not chiropractic, but it’s . . . anyway they got in control of the anesthesia department of the hospital.

[1:42 of recording]

And he could see that they had created three totally unnecessary deaths and had covered up every single one. And he knew that this was just gonna to ruin his life. So he got rid of them all. Changed the whole system. He ruined families, he ruined incomes, he cleaned house. And he told me the story 20 years later, and I said what happened. And he said, to this day none of the people I cleaned out and none of their friends has ever spoken to me. He was willing to take all that ill will to do the Lord’s work, and do it right.

And you can say, why did he wait for the third death? Maybe he felt he needed that much horror to accomplish the fix.

But all over America, there are stories like that. That’s a GOOD story about human nature. That’s a story about wisdom and virtue triumphing; and of course they don’t always win.

Even in a bull fight, the bull sometimes wins.

[1:44 of recording– relevant segment over]

The interview with Munger is:

Quick, Rebecca (interviewer). “A Conversation with Charlie Munger.” University of Michigan Ross School of Business, Sept. 14, 2010.

(Note: at three places in the recording I roughly indicate in brackets the time into the posted recording, in case anyone wants to watch the video and check the accuracy of my rough transcript. Let me know if you find an error.)

The Marty Makary book that I praise in my initial comments is:

Makary, Marty. Blind Spots: When Medicine Gets It Wrong, and What It Means for Our Health. New York: Bloomsbury Publishing, 2024.

“Epiphany” on a New Approach to Cure “Half of All Cancers”

Many health experts view immunotherapy as the most promising broad approach for curing cancers. Within the broad immunotherapy approach there are many sub-approaches–distinct approaches on how to activate the immune system against cancer. The article quoted below discusses a new sub-approach.

(p. D4) Within every cancer are molecules that spur deadly, uncontrollable growth. What if scientists could hook those molecules to others that make cells self-destruct? Could the very drivers of a cancer’s survival instead activate the program for its destruction?

That idea came as an epiphany to Dr. Gerald Crabtree, a developmental biologist at Stanford, some years ago during a walk through the redwoods near his home in the Santa Cruz mountains.

“I ran home,” he said, excited by the idea and planning ways to make it work.

Now, in a paper published Wednesday [July 26, 2023] in the journal Nature, Dr. Crabtree, a founder of Shenandoah Therapeutics, which is developing cancer drugs, along with Nathanael S. Gray, a professor of chemical and systems biology at Stanford, and their colleagues report that they have done what he imagined on that walk. While the concept is a long way from a drug that could be given to cancer patients, it could be a target for drug developers in the future.

. . .

In laboratory experiments with cells from a blood cancer, diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, the researchers designed and built molecules that hooked together two proteins: BCL6, a mutated protein that the cancer relies on to aggressively grow and survive, and a normal cell protein that switches on any genes it gets near.

. . .

BCL6, at one end of the dumbbell, guides the molecule toward cell-death genes that are part of every cell’s DNA and are used to get rid of cells that are no longer needed.

. . .

When the dumbbell, guided by BCL6, gets near the cell-death genes, the normal protein on the end of the dumbbell arms those death genes. Unlike other processes in the cell that can be reversed, turning on cell-death genes is irreversible.

. . .

The concept could potentially work for half of all cancers, which have known mutations that result in proteins that drive growth, Dr. Crabtree said. And because the treatment relies on the mutated proteins produced by the cancer cells, it could be extremely specific, sparing healthy cells.

For the full story see:

Gina Kolata. “A Key to Making Cancers Self-Destruct.” The New York Times (Tuesday, August 8, 2023 [sic]): D4.

(Note: ellipses, and bracketed date, added.)

(Note: the online version of the story was updated July 31, 2023 [sic], and has the title “Flipping a Switch and Making Cancers Self-Destruct.” Where the wording of the versions differs, the passages quoted above follow the online version.)

The academic article co-authored by Crabtree in Nature (published in July with an “issue date” of Aug. 10) and mentioned above is:

Gourisankar, Sai, Andrey Krokhotin, Wenzhi Ji, Xiaofan Liu, Chiung-Ying Chang, Samuel H. Kim, Zhengnian Li, Wendy Wenderski, Juste M. Simanauskaite, Haopeng Yang, Hannes Vogel, Tinghu Zhang, Michael R. Green, Nathanael S. Gray, and Gerald R. Crabtree. “Rewiring Cancer Drivers to Activate Apoptosis.” Nature 620, no. 7973 (Aug. 10, 2023): 417-25.

Those Open to the Unexpected Can Benefit from Serendipity

Serendipitous discoveries often involve seeing something unexpected and imagining a use for it. I am currently reading Mary Makary’s Blind Spots. To explain the inertia of the medical establishment, he points out that seeing our expectations contradicted is painful for us; it causes what Leon Festinger called “cognitive dissonance.” Cognitive dissonance causes stress. Most of us minimize the stress by denying or papering over the experiences that contradict expectations. It takes effort, often painful effort, to keep the contradiction in mind. One of my heroes is Oswald Avery, who discovered that the genetic material is DNA. Before he focused on DNA, he worked hard to understand the behavior of the Pneumococcus bacteria that cause pneumonia. Then Fred Griffith showed that only encapsulated Pneumococcus bacteria could cause pneumonia since unencapsulated Pneumococcus can be eliminated by the immune system, and showed further that unencapsulated Pneumococcus could acquire capsules, and become infectious. This transformation of the Pneumococcus contradicted Avery’s expectations, likely causing the him the stress, and the Graves disease, that paralyzed his research for six months (Barry 2005, pp. 421-422). But Avery did not suppress the contradiction. Eventually he pivoted (or if it takes six months I should say ‘eventually he painfully changed direction’) to the research that led to DNA as the genetic material.

(p. A15) Horace Walpole, who coined the term “serendipity” in a 1754 letter, believed that “the best discoveries are made while one is searching for something else,” according to Mr. Pievani. But blind luck, although often important, is not sufficient in itself, as emphasized by Louis Pasteur when he observed that “chance favors the prepared mind.”

“Serendipity” provides a catalog of serendipitous discoveries.  . . .

Mr. Pievani offers a useful and informative survey but sometimes layers his material so elaborately as to be off-putting. Early on, for example, we learn that “in 1762, Venetian playwright Carlo Gozzi, the anti-Goldoni who in the same year published the Turandot, which would inspire Giacomo Puccini, brought to the theater a fairy tale, The Deer King, which in the midst of the rococo revived the novella by Khusrau and Armeno, in particular the theme of the transmigration of souls from human to animal.” Huh? Aside from showcasing Mr. Pievani’s extensive learning, such digressions mostly demonstrate his need for a ruthless editor.

“Serendipity,” translated from the Italian by Michael Gerard Kenyon, is most intriguing when it focuses on people with prepared minds who didn’t merely find something they weren’t looking for but were in fact searching for something else when they had a breakthrough.

. . .

In 1928 Fleming, a microbiologist, had been growing Staphylococcus aureus in petri dishes. One day, upon returning from vacation, he noticed that one of the cultures had been accidentally contaminated with a Penicillium mold, which had mysteriously killed the surrounding bacteria. As a military doctor in World War I, Fleming had seen many soldiers die of bacterial infections, and he surmised that maybe this mold would help cure comparable illness.

. . .

. . ., without a prepared mind à la Pasteur, many key discoveries would have been missed. Mr. Pievani makes clear that “if you do not have predictions and expectations in mind, you will never be able to see that an accidental observation is incongruent and therefore potentially a harbinger of serendipity.” The author seeks to encourage what he calls an “ecology of serendipity” that facilitates scientific discovery. He has some suggestions, notably that one should be a “xenophile: love all things strange, all things different, foreign and new, the exceptions, the deviations.”

For the full review see:

Barash, David P. “BOOKSHELF; Progress By Accident.” The Wall Street Journal (Tuesday, Dec. 17, 2024): A15.

(Note: ellipses added.)

(Note: the online version of the review has the date December 16, 2024, and has the title “BOOKSHELF; ‘Serendipity’: Progress by Accident.” In both versions of the article, the names of works of literature and species of bacteria or mold, are italicized.)

The book under review is:

Pievani, Telmo. Serendipity: The Unexpected in Science. Translated by Michael Gerard Kenyon. Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 2024.

The book by Barry that I reference in my initial comments is:

Barry, John M. The Great Influenza: The Story of the Deadliest Pandemic in History. Revised ed. New York: Penguin Books, 2005.

Will Cancer Die from a Magic Rifle Bullet or From Magic Shotgun Pellets?

We dream of a magic bullet that can cure all cancer. But will all “cancer” continue to be seen as one unified disease, with potentially one common cure? Or will we see many diseases, many causes, and many cures? [The idea of a “magic bullet” against a disease was born from the great Paul Ehrlich who found one of the first effective antibiotics (not to be confused with the the more recent environmentalist Paul Ehrlich who is famous for losing his bet with the great Julian Simon).]

(p. D3) A new study, published [online on] Wednesday [Oct. 2, 2019] in the journal Nature, found that fungi can make their way deep into the pancreas, which sits behind your stomach and secretes digestive enzymes into your small intestine.

. . .

One particular fungus was the most abundant in the pancreas: a genus of Basidiomycota called Malassezia, which is typically found on the skin and scalp of animals and humans, and can cause skin irritation and dandruff.  . . .

The results show that Malassezia was not only abundant in mice that got pancreatic tumors, it was also present in extremely high numbers in samples from pancreatic cancer patients, said Dr. Berk Aykut, a postdoctoral researcher in Dr. Miller’s lab.

. . .

Administering an antifungal drug got rid of the fungi in mice and kept tumors from developing. And when the treated mice again received the yeast, their tumors started growing once more — an indication, Dr. Aykut said, that the fungal cells were driving the tumors’ growth.

. . .

The new study also sheds light on how fungi in the pancreas may drive the growth of tumors. The fungi activate an immune system protein called mannose-binding lectin, which then triggers a cascade of signals known to cause inflammation. When the researchers compromised the ability of the lectin protein to do its job, the cancer stopped progressing and the mice survived for longer.

For the full story see:

Knvul Sheikh. “Fungi May Have a Role In Pancreatic Cancer.” The New York Times (Tuesday, October 8, 2019 [sic]): D3.

(Note: ellipses, and bracketed words and date, added.)

(Note: the online version of the story has the date Oct. 3, 2019 [sic], and has the title “In the Pancreas, Common Fungi May Drive Cancer.” Where the wording of the versions differs, the passages quoted above follow the more detailed online version.)

The study in Nature mentioned above is:

Aykut, Berk, Smruti Pushalkar, Ruonan Chen, Qianhao Li, Raquel Abengozar, Jacqueline I. Kim, Sorin A. Shadaloey, Dongling Wu, Pamela Preiss, Narendra Verma, Yuqi Guo, Anjana Saxena, Mridula Vardhan, Brian Diskin, Wei Wang, Joshua Leinwand, Emma Kurz, Juan A. Kochen Rossi, Mautin Hundeyin, Constantinos Zambrinis, Xin Li, Deepak Saxena, and George Miller. “The Fungal Mycobiome Promotes Pancreatic Oncogenesis Via Activation of MBL.” Nature 574, no. 7777 (Oct. 10, 2019): 264-67.

Medical Mergers Can Reduce Competition and Raise Prices When Government Aids Incumbents or Fetters Entrepreneurs

The story quoted below gives useful evidence that in the recent past hospital mergers have generally resulted in higher prices. But the story is incomplete, creating the misleading impression that government antitrust action is clearly needed. My hypothesis: mergers can increase efficiency and lower patient prices, but only tend to do so when hospitals are constrained by the real or potential entry of entrepreneurial health providers. Unfortunately entry is currently very limited, often by government actions. Often new hospitals must acquire a certificate of need before they are allowed to exist.

Often, incumbent hospitals successfully object to those certificates. Federal subsidies differentially go to large incumbent hospitals. Federal Covid-relief funds went to large incumbent hospitals that used much of the funds to buy up other hospitals. Less directly, enormous government regulation creates a differential burden on the small new entrant that likely cannot afford the huge specialized staff to successfully navigate the voluminous opaque regulations.

If we want lower prices, government should allow mergers, but also stop creating constraints that discourage entry. Government should especially reduce the regulations that discourage medical entrepreneurship.

(p. D4) The nation’s hospitals have been merging at a rapid pace for a decade, forming powerful organizations that influence nearly every health care decision consumers make.

The hospitals have argued that consolidation benefits consumers with cheaper prices from coordinated services and other savings.

But an analysis conducted for The New York Times shows the opposite to be true in many cases. The mergers have essentially banished competition and raised prices for hospital admissions in most cases, according to an examination of 25 metropolitan areas with the highest rate of consolidation from 2010 through 2013, a peak period for mergers.

The analysis showed that the price of an average hospital stay soared, with prices in most areas going up between 11 percent and 54 percent in the years afterward, according to researchers from the Nicholas C. Petris Center at the University of California, Berkeley.

The new research confirms growing skepticism among consumer health groups and lawmakers about the enormous clout of the hospital groups. While most political attention has focused on increased drug prices and the Affordable Care Act, state and federal officials are beginning to look more closely at how hospital mergers are affecting spiraling health care costs.

During the Obama years, the mergers received nearly universal approval from antitrust agencies, with the Federal Trade Commission moving to block only a small fraction of deals. State officials generally looked the other way.

President Trump issued an executive order last year calling for more competition, saying his administration would focus on “limiting excessive consolidation (p. B1) throughout the health care system.” In September [2018], Congress asked the Medicare advisory board to study the trend.

. . .

Prices rise even more steeply when these large hospital systems buy doctors’ groups, according to Richard Scheffler, director of the Petris Center.

“It’s much more powerful when they already have a very large market share,” said Mr. Scheffler, who recently published a study on the issue in Health Affairs. “The impact is just enormous.”

For the full story see:

Reed Abelson. “When Hospitals Merge, Patients Often Pay More.” The New York Times (Wednesday, November 14, 2018 [sic]): B1 & B6.

(Note: ellipses added.)

(Note: the online version of the story has the same date as the print version, and has the title “When Hospitals Merge to Save Money, Patients Often Pay More.” Where the wording of the versions differs, the passages quoted above follow the online version.)

The article co-authored by Scheffler and mentioned above

Scheffler, Richard M., Daniel R. Arnold, and Christopher M. Whaley. “Consolidation Trends in California’s Health Care System: Impacts on Aca Premiums and Outpatient Visit Prices.” Health Affairs 37, no. 9 (Sept. 2018): 1409-16.

Other relevant articles by Abelson:

Reed Abelson. “Big hospital chains used federal pandemic aid to buy their competitors.” The New York Times (May 22, 2021), URL: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2021/05/22/world/covid-vaccine-coronavirus-mask?searchResultPosition=4#big-hospital-chains-used-federal-pandemic-aid-to-buy-their-competitors

Reed Abelson. “Millions in U.S. aid benefited richer hospitals, a new study shows.” The New York Times (Oct. 22, 2021), URL: https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/22/health/federal-aid-hospitals-provider-relief-fund.html?searchResultPosition=7

Some Medical Researchers Seek Patient Input on Execution of Studies

In the story quoted below some medical researchers are seeking patient involvement in studies, but I was disappointed to realize that the involvement is mostly superficial with the aim of getting patient agreement to be part of the study. The researchers in the story still see a big divide between patients and doctors. Doctors see patterns and create hypotheses to be tested. Patients, if they want, can stand by posters, and make minor suggestions on the execution of study design.

I suggest, more ambitiously, that patients sometimes, if allowed, can see patterns and create hypotheses. They have the incentive, the skin in the game. And sometimes they have direct experience on what works and what does not work.

(p. R6) Joel Nowak, a 66-year-old Brooklyn, N.Y., resident with metastatic prostate cancer, knows a lot about cancer research. Over the years, he has contributed blood, saliva and medical information to studies in hopes of helping investigators battle the disease.

But something has nagged at him. Almost always, Mr. Nowak says, investigators want data, “but you never hear from them again.”

Then he was asked to join a new endeavor that is trying to change that—by making participants into partners.

The Metastatic Prostate Cancer Project, launched by the Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard and the Dana-Farber Cancer Institute in Boston, is trying to give participants a bigger stake in studies by asking them for input, inviting them to events and keeping them updated on progress.

. . .

Patients are . . . invited for a tour of the Broad Institute to see its gene-sequencing machines or to meet and share ideas with researchers, says Nikhil Wagle, director of the umbrella initiative.

Dr. Wagle thinks the approach has led to unusually fast and large enrollment. More than 4,000 people enrolled in the breast-cancer project and over 290 in the angiosarcoma initiative. In just a few weeks, more than 200 signed up for the prostate-cancer study.

. . .

Keeping participants up-to-date is another concern for researchers. It is an issue close to home for Corrie Painter, principal investigator of the angiosarcoma project at the Broad and one of the creators of all three of the institute’s cancer initiatives.

Dr. Painter draws on her experiences as a cancer survivor and research participant in shaping interactions with patients. She was diagnosed with angiosarcoma nearly eight years ago. Dr. Painter says that after her diagnosis, like many patients, she felt frustrated at being treated more “as passive recipients of care rather than part of the process of discovery.”

. . .

Meanwhile, some patients are taking the opportunity to play a larger role in shaping studies. Mr. Nowak, for one, joined a patient advisory council of the prostate-cancer project. Members communicate on videoconferences, email exchanges and in person. During a meeting at the Broad, researchers showed a prototype for the saliva kits that were going to be mailed to patients to collect samples.

The advocates told researchers to take “Metastatic Prostate Cancer Project” off the box. “There are a lot of men who don’t want other people to know they have cancer,” says Mr. Nowak.

For the full story see:

Amy Dockser Marcus. “Researchers Look to Enlist Patients as Partners.” The Wall Street Journal (Monday, Feb. 25, 2018 [sic]): R6.

(Note: ellipses added.)

(Note: the online version of the story has the date Feb. 25, 2018 [sic], and has the title “Medical Researchers Look to Enlist Patients as Partners.” The last two ellipses above indicate where I omit sentences that appeared in the longer online version, but not in the print version.)

Marcus’s story is related to her book:

Marcus, Amy Dockser. We the Scientists: How a Daring Team of Parents and Doctors Forged a New Path for Medicine. New York: Riverhead Books, 2023.

Large Medical Databases Would Allow Discovery and Testing of Causal Patterns of Diseases

After considerable effort, as of the writing of the article quoted below, Dr. Wagle has only been able to gather data on 375 of the roughly 155,000 metastatic breast cancer patients in the U.S. Many have long complained about the difficulty in obtaining and consolidating medical records. Exploring the reasons would take a longer article than the one quoted below. Part of the story is the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act of 1996 (HIPAA). It was passed to protect patient privacy, but it served as cover for medical institutions to stonewall patients, policy makers, and other medical institutions from obtaining information. The institutions make the process of obtaining medical information as slow, opaque, and onerous as possible. Partly this is a result of the general inefficiency of medical bureaucracy. Regulations limit competition among medical institutions and limit entrepreneurship, allowing inefficiencies to persist. To those who are mission-oriented within the bureaucracy, providing records may seem a lower priority than issues affecting current medical care. But also, restricting information may increase patient lock-in. Ceteris paribus, a patient may choose to stay at an institution that has long health records for the patient. Also, providing less information to third parties may make the institution less vulnerable to criticism and law suits.

Ideally, Dr. Wagle’s database would serve as a modern day version of the dusty hospital archives that Dr. William Coley pursued to find a pattern among the patients who had been spontaneously cured of their cancer in the late 1800s.

From personal experience I can say that getting patient information is easier now than it was 30 years ago, at least for the patient to obtain their own information.

An important side point is Dr. Wagle’s emphasis on the value of obtaining patient narratives, in addition to coded data. Narratives allow the discovery of additional causes or effects, beyond what the initial coders include in the coded data. Gary Klein makes this point in defending the value of what he calls “stories” (Klein 2017).

(p. D4) Dr. Nikhil Wagle thought he had a brilliant idea to advance research and patient care.

Dr. Wagle, an oncologist at the Dana Farber Cancer Institute in Boston, and his colleagues would build a huge database that linked cancer patients’ medical records, treatments and outcomes with their genetic backgrounds and the genetics of their tumors.

The database would also include patients’ own experiences. How ill did they feel with the treatments? What was their quality of life? The database would find patterns that would tell doctors what treatment was best for each patient and what patients might expect.

The holdup, he thought, would be finding patients. Instead, the real impediment turned out to be gathering their medical records.

. . .

Dr. Wagle is making data from medical records and patients’ experiences public as he gets them. After 2 1/2 years, though, he is disappointed by how little there is to share.

The patient who inspired his project had a lethal form of thyroid cancer. She was expected to die in a few months. In desperation, doctors gave her a drug that by all accounts should not have helped.

To everyone’s surprise, her tumors shrank to almost nothing, and she survived. She was an “extraordinary responder.”

Why? It turned out that her tumor had an unusual mutation that made it vulnerable to the drug.

And that got Dr. Wagle thinking. What if researchers had a database that would allow them to find these lucky patients, examine their tumors, and discover genetic mutations that predict which drugs will work?

. . .

Dr. Wagle decided to build a database, starting with metastatic breast cancer, his specialty. There are about 155,000 metastatic breast cancer patients in the United States. He would use social media, online forums and advocacy groups to reach out to patients for their records.

. . .

Startlingly, faxing “is the standard,” Ms. McGillicuddy said, for medical records requests.

The process can be frustrating. Fax numbers can be out of date. Some medical centers will not accept electronic patient signatures on the permission forms.

Sometimes, the medical centers just ignore the request — and the second request. In the end, Ms. McGillicuddy said, the project gets fewer than half the records it requests.

Then comes the laborious task of extracting medical information from the records and entering it into the database. A faxed medical record may be 100 or 200 pages long.

So far, the breast cancer project has received 450 records for 375 patients. (Each patient tends to have more than one record, because the women typically are seen at more than one medical center.)

For the full story see:

Gina Kolata. “Concealing New Cancer Treatments.” The New York Times (Tuesday, May 22, 2018 [sic]): D4.

(Note: ellipses added.)

(Note: the online version of the story has the date May 21, 2018 [sic], and has the title “New Cancer Treatments Lie Hidden Under Mountains of Paperwork.” Where the wording of the versions differs, the passages quoted above follow the online version.)

Gary Klein’s main book that I praise in my initial comments is:

Klein, Gary A. Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions. 20th Anniversary ed. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press, 2017.

If Immortality Does Not Violate the Laws of Physics, Entrepreneurs Can Achieve It

The late Nobel-Prize-winning physicist and idiosyncratic Richard Feynman also said something similar to the quote attributed to Arram Sabeti below.

I do not believe that Feynman was explicitly named, or had any lines, in the movie “Opennheimer,” but you can see his character in the background of one scene playing the bongo drums. Perhaps he was eccentric, but I liked his views on methodology and his unpretentious, optimistic, and straightforward spirit.

(p. 9) As the longevity entrepreneur Arram Sabeti told The New Yorker: “The proposition that we can live forever is obvious. It doesn’t violate the laws of physics, so we can achieve it.”

For the full commentary see:

Dara Horn. “The Men Who Want to Live Forever.” The New York Times, SundayReview Section (Sunday, January 28, 2018 [sic]): 9.

(Note: the online version of the commentary has the date Jan. 25, 2018 [sic], and has the same title as the print version.)

The Academic “Herd Mindset” May Be the Cause of What Elon Musk Calls the “Woke Mind Virus”

(p. B3) “I listen to podcasts about the fall of civilizations to go to sleep,” Musk said this past week during an appearance at the Milken Institute conference. “So perhaps that might be part of the problem.”

One provocateur, in particular, has caught his attention of late: Gad Saad, a marketing professor at Concordia University in Montreal, and author of the book “The Parasitic Mind: How Infectious Ideas Are Killing Common Sense.”

. . .

Saad wrote that “The Parasitic Mind” was inspired, in part, by his experience in academia, where he described a herd mindset that chastised innovative thinkers. He described pushback he encountered, including his ideas being labeled as “sexist nonsense” and his efforts to use “biologically-based theorizing” to explain consumer behavior being dismissed as too reductionistic.

“The West is currently suffering from such a devastating pandemic, a collective malady that destroys people’s capacity to think rationally,” the 59-year-old Saad wrote at the beginning of his book. “Unlike other pandemics where biological pathogens are to blame, the current culprit is composed of a collection of bad ideas, spawned on university campuses, that chip away at our edifices of reason, freedom, and individual dignity.”

. . .

Another inspiration for his book, Saad writes, was his experience as a boy fleeing with other Jews from his home in Lebanon during that country’s civil war. In the book, he detailed some of the horrors he experienced, including the kidnapping of his parents.

. . .

Musk has said his concerns about Woke Mind Virus, his way of labeling progressive liberal beliefs that he says are overly politically correct and stifling to public debate and free speech, helped fuel his desire to acquire the social-media company Twitter turned X in late 2022.

For the full commentary see:

Tim Higgins. “His Musings Fuel Musk’s Nightmares.” The Wall Street Journal (Monday, May 13, 2024): B3.

(Note: ellipses added.)

(Note: the online version of the commentary has the date May 11, 2024, and has the title “The Man Whose Musings Fuel Elon Musk’s Nightmares.” The last two ellipses above indicate where I omit sentences that appeared in the longer online version, but not in the print version.)

The Saad book that has influenced Elon Musk is:

Saad, Gad. Parasitic Mind: How Infectious Ideas Are Killing Common Sense. New York: Regnery Publishing, 2020.

Bacteria Can Be Genetically Reprogrammed to Cure Cancer Tumors in Mice

Reprograming bacteria to cure cancer tumors is a novel and plausible approach, but there are many other novel and plausible approaches. Cancer is a complicated and diverse disease; maybe we will eventually see “cancer” as many different diseases. We have too much uncertainty to mandate one centrally planned approach. Plus citizens have the right to keep the money they earn and to choose how to spend that money. We should keep taxation and regulations low so that diverse funders can follow their judgements to fund diverse approaches.

(p. D3) Scientists have used genetically reprogrammed bacteria to destroy tumors in mice. The innovative method one day may lead to cancer therapies that treat the disease more precisely, without the side effects of conventional drugs.

The researchers already are scrambling to develop a commercial treatment, but success in mice does not guarantee that this strategy will work in people. Still, the new study, published on Wednesday in the journal Nature Medicine, is a harbinger of things to come, said Dr. Michael Dougan, an immunologist at Massachusetts General Hospital in Boston.

. . .

Our immune cells can sometimes recognize and destroy cancer cells without assistance. But tumors may hide from the immune system by taking advantage of a gene called CD47.

Normally, the gene makes a protein that studs the surface of red blood cells, a kind of sign that reads, “Don’t Eat Me.” Immune cells see it, and pass by healthy red blood cells.

. . .

In recent years, scientists have been developing antibodies that can attach to CD47 proteins on cancer cells, masking the “Don’t Eat Me” sign. Then the body’s immune cells learn to recognize the cancer cells as dangerous and attack.

. . .

Nicholas Arpaia, an immunologist at Columbia University in New York, and Tal Danino, a synthetic biologist, wondered if they could use bacteria to turn the immune system against cancer cells — but from within tumors, rather than from outside.

. . .

The researchers inserted the nanobody gene into the bacteria, turning them into nanobody factories. Then the team injected five million of the altered microbes into mouse tumors.

The bacteria were also programmed to commit mass suicide. After they established themselves and multiplied, 90 percent of the bacteria ripped themselves apart, spilling out nanobodies. The nanobodies attached to CD47 proteins on the cancer cells, robbing them of their camouflage.

. . .

Dr. Danino co-founded a company, GenCirq, that is exploring using these reprogrammed bacteria to treat cancer. Dr. Arpaia is on the leadership board.

Their goal is to treat some forms of metastatic cancer with a pill of programmed bacteria. In earlier research, Dr. Danino and colleagues showed that bacteria swallowed by mice can reach the liver and invade tumors there.

For the full commentary see:

Carl Zimmer. “Matter; Bacteria, Altered to Destroy Cancer.” The New York Times (Tuesday, July 9, 2019 [sic]): D3.

(Note: ellipses added.)

(Note: the online version of the commentary has the date July 3, 2019 [sic], and has the title “Matter; New Weapons Against Cancer: Millions of Bacteria Programmed to Kill.”)

The paper in PLOS Biology co-authored by Thomas Stoeger and mentioned above is:

Chowdhury, Sreyan, Samuel Castro, Courtney Coker, Taylor E. Hinchliffe, Nicholas Arpaia, and Tal Danino. “Programmable Bacteria Induce Durable Tumor Regression and Systemic Antitumor Immunity.” Nature Medicine 25, no. 7 (July 2019): 1057-63.