Gans Showed That Urban Working-Class Enclaves, and Modern Suburban Housing Developments, Can Contain Vibrant Communities

In my Openness book I argue that, especially in America and Europe, life has generally gotten better in the last couple of hundred years.

Some critics argue, to the contrary, that modern suburban housing developments are boring, conformist locations lacking a sense of community and cultural vibrancy. They then use this argument to advocate that government urban planners adopt regulatory and subsidy policies to “infill the urban core,” i.e., force suburbanites to live downtown.

Herbert J. Gans, quoted below, refuted the critics.

(p. B11) Herbert J. Gans, an eminent sociologist who studied the communities and cultural bastions of America up close and shattered popular myths about urban and suburban life, poverty, ethnic groups and the news media, died on Monday [April 21, 2025] at his home in Manhattan. He was 97.

. . .

His findings were often surprising. For his first book, “The Urban Villagers: Groups and Class in the Life of Italian-Americans” (1962), he immersed himself in the life of Boston’s working-class West End. The area was later bulldozed for “slum clearance,” and he lamented the destruction of a vibrant community. A half-century later, the book still stood as a classic statement against indiscriminate urban renewal.

Similarly, Dr. Gans challenged conventional wisdom about postwar suburbia in “The Levittowners” (1967). For more than two years, he lived in Levittown, N.J., later renamed Willingboro, and concluded that the residents had strong social, economic and political commitments, and that notions of suburbanites as conformist, anxious, bored, cultureless, insecure social climbers were wrong.

For the full obituary, see:

Robert D. McFadden. “Herbert J. Gans, 97, Who Explored American Society Up Close, Dies.” The New York Times (Thursday, April 24, 2025): B11.

(Note: ellipsis, and bracketed date, added.)

(Note: the online version of the obituary was updated April 23, 2025, and has the title “Herbert J. Gans, 97, Dies; Upended Myths of Urban and Suburban Life.”)

Gans’s books mentioned in the passages quoted above, are:

Gans, ‎Herbert J. The Levittowners: Ways of Life and Politics in a New Suburban Community. New York: Columbia University Press, 1967.

Gans, ‎Herbert J. The Urban Villagers: Groups and Class in the Life of Italian-Americans. Glencoe, IL: The Free Press of Glencoe, 1962.

My book mentioned in my initial comments is:

Diamond, Arthur M., Jr. Openness to Creative Destruction: Sustaining Innovative Dynamism. New York: Oxford University Press, 2019.

Stop Subsidizing Corn Growing to Reduce Corn Syrup Consumption and Make America Healthy Again

In a recent blog entry I discussed how consumption of corn syrup may increase obesity and how government subsidies to corn growing and quotas on the import of sugar, lead to increased consumption of corn syrup. In the entry below, I document brief comments by Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. on corn syrup.

(p. A15) In my speech endorsing Donald Trump, I said we need to love our kids more than we hate each other. That means coming together to address common problems, and few are more urgent than the chronic-disease crisis. Americans are becoming sicker, beset by illnesses that our medical system isn’t addressing effectively.

. . .

Mr. Trump has made reforming broken institutions a cornerstone of his political life. He has become the voice of countless Americans who have been let down by our elites. He could unite the country by making it his priority to make America healthy again. Here are some specific policy ideas:

. . .

• Reform crop subsidies. They make corn, soybeans and wheat artificially cheap, so those crops end up in many processed forms. Soybean oil in the 1990s became a major source of American calories, and high-fructose corn syrup is everywhere.

For the full commentary see:

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. “Trump Can Make America Healthy Again.” The Wall Street Journal (Friday, Sept. 6, 2024): A15.

(Note: ellipses added.)

(Note: the online version of the commentary has the date September 5, 2024, and has the same title as the print version.)

The Classical Liberal Economist’s Current Job: Minimize the Harm from Tariffs, Maximize the Benefits from Deregulation and Downsizing Government

I used to run into Richard Burkhauser at economics meetings occasionally and always enjoyed talking with him and hearing about his research. I believe Richard’s activity in the first Trump administration makes sense: if tariffs are going to be imposed, do them in a way that minimizes the damage to the economy. Although not mentioned in the article quoted below, I am sure Richard also did what he could to further the part of Trump’s agenda that was positive for he economy: reducing regulations so entrepreneurs can innovate and create jobs, and downsizing the government so taxpayers can keep more of their earnings.

(p. 1) Partway through a panel discussion at a recent economics conference in San Francisco, Jason Furman, a former adviser to President Barack Obama, turned to Kimberly Clausing, a former member of the Biden administration and the author of a book extolling the virtues of free trade.

“Everyone in this room agrees with your book,” Mr. Furman said. “No one outside of this room agrees with your book.”

The academics and policy wonks gathered in the hotel conference room laughed, but the comment captured something real: After decades of helping to shape policy on weighty matters like taxes and health insurance, economists find that their influence is at a low ebb.

. . .

(p. 6) Mr. Trump, in his first term, had few economists in top roles, and perhaps the most prominent exception — Peter Navarro, a Harvard-trained economist who was an adviser on trade policy — held skeptical views on trade, particularly with China, that put him far outside the economic mainstream. (In a 2016 survey of academic economists, not a single respondent said putting tariffs on China to encourage domestic production would be a good idea.)

Economists who held more mainstream views had limited influence. Richard Burkhauser, a Cornell University professor who served on Mr. Trump’s Council of Economic Advisers, said he and his colleagues quickly understood that there was little point in trying to talk Mr. Trump out of imposing tariffs.

“The most forlorn economists at the C.E.A. specialized in trade,” he said. If they had tried to fight tariffs, he said, “that would have been the last meeting we were at.”

Instead, Mr. Burkhauser said, economists focused on a different question: If the administration was going to impose tariffs, how could it do them in the least painful way possible?

For the full story see:

Ben Casselman. “Economists See Influence Wane in Policy Circles.” The New York Times, SundayBusiness Section (Sun., January 12, 2025): 1 & 6.

(Note: ellipsis added.)

(Note: the online version of the story has the date Jan. 10, 2024, and has the title “Economists Are in the Wilderness. Can They Find a Way Back to Influence?”)

Plenty in Science Still “Just Doesn’t Make Any Sense”

In my Openness book, I argue against those who see a future of inevitable stagnation. One argument for inevitable stagnation says that entrepreneurs build their innovations on science and we have run out of new knowledge to learn in science.

But whenever we keep our eyes open and observe more closely, or in new areas, we see what we cannot yet explain. The passages quoted below give another example. So we still have a lot to learn in science.

(Of course I also point out in the book that much entrepreneurial innovation is not tied to current advances in science–and is done by entrepreneurs who do not know, or who do not hold in high esteem, the current conclusions of mainstream scientists.)

(p. A14) On Dec. 24 [2024], NASA’s Parker Solar Probe swooped closer than it ever had before to the sun, just a few million miles above its blazing hot surface.

The team behind the mission waited nervously, trusting that the probe would survive the encounter. Then, a few minutes shy of midnight on Thursday [Dec. 2?, 2024], Parker phoned home.

. . .

. . ., there was some fear that the probe might not survive this time. Parker’s heat shield is designed so that the front of the vehicle can withstand facing the blistering heat of the sun’s outer atmosphere, which reaches millions of degrees, while the back, which contains the probe’s sensitive instruments, sits at a comfortable 85 degrees Fahrenheit.

“Literally one side is at a temperature that is unfathomable,” Joseph Westlake, the director of heliophysics at NASA, said. “And the back of it is a hot, sunny day.”

. . .

Parker’s data will . . . help scientists understand how the sun’s outer atmosphere, known as the corona, can be hundreds of times hotter than the solar surface below it.

“It’s like if you were standing next to a bonfire and you took a couple of steps back, and all of a sudden it got hotter,” Dr. Westlake said. “It just doesn’t make any sense.”

For the full story see:

Katrina Miller. “After Silence, Solar Probe Signals Earth of Survival.” The New York Times (Sat., December 28, 2024): A14.

(Note: ellipses, bracketed year, and bracketed date, added.)

(Note: the online version of the story was updated Dec. 30, 2024, and has the title “After Days of Silence, NASA’s Parker Solar Probe Phones Home.”)

My book mentioned in my initial comments is:

Diamond, Arthur M., Jr. Openness to Creative Destruction: Sustaining Innovative Dynamism. New York: Oxford University Press, 2019.

Medieval English Gentry Did Not Routinely Dine on Meat

In my Openness book, I argue that the distant past was not a lost Golden Age that we should pine for.

Based on novels and TV costume dramas, we suppose the rich gentry in medieval England routinely dined on meat. But bioarcheologists have analyzed the bones of over 2,000 persons for whom social class can be inferred, based on what was buried with the bones. The conclusion was that meat was an occasional luxury for both poor and rich.

This provides one more bit of evidence that, compared with the present, the past was not a Golden Age even for the rich.

Source:

Maria Cramer. “Mutton? Kings of Yore Probably Ate More Greens.” The New York Times, First Section (Sun., May 1, 2022 [sic]): 13.

(Note: the online version of the article was updated May 2, 2022 [sic], and has the title “Anglo-Saxon Kings Made Sure to Eat Their Vegetables, Study Shows.”)

The published academic paper summarized by Maria Cramer in The New York Times is:

Leggett, Sam, and Tom Lambert. “Food and Power in Early Medieval England: A Lack of (Isotopic) Enrichment.” Anglo-Saxon England 49 (2022): 155-96.

My book mentioned in my initial comments is:

Diamond, Arthur M., Jr. Openness to Creative Destruction: Sustaining Innovative Dynamism. New York: Oxford University Press, 2019.

Not Every Fluoride Worry Is Anti-Science Misinformation

Emily Oster is an economist who believes that ordinary citizens are not uniformly stupid and ill-informed. Maybe they even have rights. So she suggests the public health authorities stop condescending and shouting commands and start offering the public nuanced information about varying levels of certainty and risk.

(p. 4) Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said this month that the new Trump administration would recommend removing fluoride from public water supplies. The suggestion that fluoride was unsafe was immediately criticized by many public health experts as anti-science misinformation.

But there’s a real danger to painting everyone with concerns about fluoride as a conspiracy theorist. It’s not that we should remove fluoride from tap water (we shouldn’t), but fluoride is a complex topic, and glossing over that complexity — as public health experts and agencies often do — leaves people understandably skeptical.

Public health agencies typically tell people what to do and what not to do, but they don’t regularly explain why — or why people might hear something different from others. They also often fail to prioritize. In the end, advice for a range of topics is delivered with the same level of confidence and, seemingly, the same level of urgency. The problem is that when people find one piece of guidance is overstated, they may begin to distrust everything.

. . .

Deservedly or not, public health authorities lost a lot of trust, especially during the pandemic, and they have struggled to get it back. This has left an opening for others. The reaction from public health officials often seems to be to yell the same thing, only more loudly. This isn’t working.

For the full commentary see:

Emily Oster. “How to Talk About Fluoride, Vaccines and Raw Milk.” The New York Times, SundayOpinion Section (Sun., November 17, 2024): 4.

(Note: ellipsis added.)

(Note: the online version of the commentary has the date Nov. 13, 2024, and has the title “There’s a Better Way to Talk About Fluoride, Vaccines and Raw Milk.”)

Medical Entrepreneur Fired for Nimbly Pivoting to Get Job Done

Back in early 2021, the Moderna vaccine was not yet widely available. Protocols mandated who could get the scarce shots, prioritizing health care workers, senior citizens, and those with severe diseases. Each vial contained enough for 10 doses, but the doses had to be given with six hours, before the vaccine spoiled. On Dec. 29 Dr. Hasan Gokal, a Pakistani immigrant, worked at the county’s first vaccination event, set up for health care workers. Near the end of the scheduled event a health care worker showed up and a nurse punctured a new vial to give the worker the shot.

Now, what to do with the remaining nine doses? He got on the phone and drove around seeking and finding several senior citizens who wanted the vaccine. Exhausted with a half-hour until the vaccine expired, he gave the final dose to his wife, who had pulmonary sarcoidosis, which was indicated in the protocols as a qualification for the vaccine.

Dr. Gokal’s supervisor and the director of human resources then fired Dr. Gokal:

The officials maintained that he had violated protocol and should have returned the remaining doses to the office or thrown them away, the doctor recalled. He also said that one of the officials startled him by questioning the lack of “equity” among those he had vaccinated.

“Are you suggesting that there were too many Indian names in that group?” Dr. Gokal said he asked.

Exactly, he said he was told. (Barry 2021, p. A5)

A couple of weeks later, the county district attorney charged Dr. Gokal with theft of doses of the vaccine.

Dr. Gokal acted as a medical entrepreneur. His job was to save lives by administering the vaccine. He nimbly pivoted in a difficult situation. For that he was punished–fired and charged with a crime.

The growing promulgation and enforcement of protocols limit physicians from acting as mission-oriented entrepreneurs. They are limited in their use of judgement based on their own experiences, they are limited in innovating, and sometimes they are even limited in using all of a scarce vaccine. These limits may be part of the reason that so many physicians today experience frustration and burn-out.

[As of the time of the writing of the NYT article cited below, Dr. Gokal remained fired from his job, and still was in legal jeopardy.]

My source for the facts of Dr. Gokal’s case, is the NYT article:

Dan Barry. “Racing the Clock, a Doctor Gave Out the Vaccine.” The New York Times (Thurs., February 11, 2021 [sic]): A1 & A5.

(Note: the online version of the NYT article was updated June 23, 2023 [sic], and has the title “The Vaccine Had to Be Used. He Used It. He Was Fired.”)

NBER Study Asserts That High-Risk Medicare Beneficiaries Are Clueless

I have looked at the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) paper mentioned below, and suspect (and hope) that its key findings are wrong. I do not believe that people are always rational and well-informed. But I do believe that people have incentives to be rational and well-informed, especially on crucial issues related to their health.

The NBER paper says that given a modest increase in the price of a crucial drug (e.g., a statin), high-risk patients (e.g., with severe arteriosclerosis) will often stop taking the crucial drug, being “unaware of these risks.” I suspect that the policy conclusion that many will draw from the NBER paper is: don’t raise Medicare drug prices.

If the authors are right that high-risk Medicare beneficiaries are clueless, an alternative policy conclusion is: give the beneficiaries a clue.

(p. 7) The high cost of drugs can force some seniors to make difficult choices between paying for medications or other household expenses.

A . . . study by the National Bureau of Economic Research found that when Medicare beneficiaries’ out-of-pocket drug costs jump, there is a significant drop in the number of patients who fill prescriptions and an increase in mortality.

For the full commentary see:

Mark Miller. “Steps for Coping With Medicare’s Rising Costs.” The New York Times, SundayBusiness Section (Sun., December 26, 2021 [sic]): 7.

(Note: ellipsis added.)

(Note: the online version of the commentary has the date Dec. 22, 2021 [sic], and has the title “How to Cope With Medicare’s Rising Costs.”)

A revised version of the National Bureau of Economic Research paper mentioned above is:

Chandra, Amitabh, Evan Flack, and Ziad Obermeyer. “The Health Costs of Cost-Sharing.” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper #28439, Feb. 2024.

Gig Work Enables Free Agent Entrepreneurship

In my Openness book, I distinguish between free agent entrepreneurs and innovative entrepreneurs. Free agent entrepreneurs are there own boss, doing what has been done before. Innovative entrepreneurs are their own boss, doing what is new. Of course the distinction is not sharp–a continuum.

Recent research, summarized in the WSJ, suggests that gig work can ease entry into free agent entrepreneurship. Gig work is flexible–the gig worker has time when they need it, to work on their entrepreneurial venture. Gig work also can generate capital and give experience in self-management.

A higher percent of gig workers become entrepreneurs than similar employed workers, and they do so, on average, at a slightly younger age.

Those who want to regulate gig work, and thereby make it less common, should remember how gig work benefits aspiring entrepreneus.

The WSJ article mentioned above is:

Lisa Ward. “Gig Workers Show More Enterprise, Study Finds.” The Wall Street Journal (Thurs., May 8, 2025): A11.

(Note: the online version of the WSJ article has the date May 5, 2025, and has the title “Want to Start a Business? Maybe Begin by Being a Gig Worker.”)

The academic working paper summarized in the WSJ article is:

Denes, Matthew R., Spyridon Lagaras, and Margarita Tsoutsoura. “Entrepreneurship and the Gig Economy: Evidence from U.S. Tax Returns.” In National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper #33347, Jan. 2025.

My book mentioned in my initial comments is:

Diamond, Arthur M., Jr. Openness to Creative Destruction: Sustaining Innovative Dynamism. New York: Oxford University Press, 2019.

If Switzerland Is “Capitalist to Its Core,” Where Are Its Breakthrough Innovations?

If Switzerland is the premier capitalist country in the world, as Ruchir Sharma argues in the puzzling passages quoted below, what breakthrough innovations has it nurtured in the last half century? I can think of none. (Swatch may have been successful, but was it a breakthrough?) If I am right, what is Switzerland missing?

(p. 5) Capitalist to its core, Switzerland imposes lighter taxes on individuals, consumers and corporations than the Scandinavian countries do. In 2018 its top income tax rate was the lowest in Western Europe at 36 percent, well below the Scandinavian average of 52 percent. Government spending amounts to a third of gross domestic product, compared with half in Scandinavia. And Switzerland is more open to trade, with a share of global exports around double that of any Scandinavian economy.

Streamlined government and open borders have helped make this landlocked, mountainous country an unlikely incubator of globally competitive companies. To build wealth, a country needs to make rich things, and an M.I.T. ranking of nations by the complexity of the products they export places Switzerland second behind Japan, well ahead of the Scandinavian countries, whose average rank is 15.

. . .

Die-hard admirers of Scandinavian socialism overlook the change of heart in countries such as Sweden, where heavy government spending led to the financial crises of the 1990s. Sweden responded by cutting the top income tax rate from nearly 90 percent to as low as 50 percent. Public spending fell from near 70 percent of G.D.P. to 50 percent. Growth revived, as the largest Scandinavian economy started to look more like Switzerland, streamlining government and leaving business more room to grow.

For the full commentary see:

Ruchir Sharma. “The Happy, Healthy Capitalists of Switzerland.” The New York Times, SundayReview Section (Sun., November 3, 2019 [sic]): 5.

(Note: ellipsis added.)

(Note: the online version of the commentary has the date Nov. 2, 2019 [sic], and has the same title as the print version.)

We Need Market-Tested Innovation to Cure the Sadly Chaotic, Inefficient, Dishonest, and Unfair Organ Transplant System

The government contracts with, and ‘supervises,’ a network of nonprofits in a sadly chaotic, inefficient, dishonest, and unfair system to allocate scarce transplant organs. The government has set up perverse incentives, with unintended consequences, by telling the nonprofits that they will be evaluated on the basis of not wasting organs; those evaluated badly will not have their contracts renewed. So they have an incentive to get the organs out the door quickly, even if they do not go to patients higher on the waiting list. Hospitals know they will be evaluated on the basis of how many transplanted patients survive at least a year. So they have an incentive to reject below average organs, and, when they get above average organs, to ignore the waiting list, in order to transplant them into the most healthy patients.

The result is that the sickest and those who have waited the longest are frequently skipped over, instead of receiving the organ when it is their turn.

Why don’t we try something bold–allow for-profit entrepreneurs to engage in medical institutional innovation? For instance, if we allow it, one medical entrepreneurs might purchase from willing donors the right to allocate their organs if and when they become available. Another medical entrepreneur might set up an institution appealing to donors who do not want to be paid, but do want a guarantee that their organs will go to the poor at no charge.

In retailing Walmart and Amazon have different models, but both made major logistical innovations. We need a Walmart and an Amazon of organ transplantation. We need market-tested innovation (as Deirdre McCloskey might say).

Allowing some donors to be paid will reduce the scarcity of organs, which is the most basic constraint on this issue. Innovative medical entrepreneurs may find other ways to loosen this most basic constraint, such as mechanical organs, regrowing human organs from stem cells, and growing transplantable organs in pigs.

(p. A1) For decades, fairness has been the guiding principle of the American organ transplant system. Its bedrock, a national registry, operates under strict federal rules meant to ensure that donated organs are offered to the patients who need them most, in careful order of priority.

But today, officials regularly ignore the rankings, leapfrogging over hundreds or even thousands of people when they give out kidneys, livers, lungs and hearts. These organs often go to recipients who are not as sick, have not been waiting nearly as long and, in some cases, are not on the list at all, a New York Times investigation found.

Last year, officials skipped patients on the (p. A10) waiting lists for nearly 20 percent of transplants from deceased donors, six times as often as a few years earlier. It is a profound shift in the transplant system, whose promise of equality has become increasingly warped by expediency and favoritism.

Under government pressure to place more organs, the nonprofit organizations that manage donations are routinely prioritizing ease over fairness. They use shortcuts to steer organs to selected hospitals, which jockey to get better access than their competitors.

. . .

The Times analyzed more than 500,000 transplants performed since 2004 and found that procurement organizations regularly ignore waiting lists even when distributing higher-quality organs. Last year, 37 percent of the kidneys allocated outside the normal process were scored as above-average. Other organs are not scored in the same way, but donor age is often used as a proxy for quality, and data shows there is little difference in the age of organs allocated normally compared with those that are not.

And while many people in the transplant community believe ignoring lists is reducing organ wastage, there is no evidence that is true, according to an unreleased report by a group of doctors and researchers asked by the transplant system last year to study the practice.

. . .

In 2020, procurement organizations felt under attack. Congress was criticizing them for letting too many organs go to waste. Regulators moved to give each organization a grade and, starting in 2026, fire the lowest performers.

They scrambled to respond. They assigned more staff to hospitals to identify donors, grew more aggressive with families and recovered more organs from older or sicker donors.

Those steps increased donations and transplants, dozens of employees said. Both hit record highs last year, when there were 41,115 transplants.

At the same time, the organizations increasingly used a shortcut known as an open offer. Open offers are remarkably efficient — officials choose a hospital and allow it to put the organ into any patient.

. . .

Some procurement organizations sidestep the list because they believe it helps them place more organs. But it can also help their bottom lines.

In 2021, the South Carolina procurement organization phased out its allocation team and handed the task to workers who were already managing donors, testing organs and helping with surgeries. As a workaround, three former employees said, executives created a spreadsheet with preferred doctors’ phone numbers.

If the employees were too busy to do allocation, they said, they were told to give open offers to those doctors.

“They’d tell me to get rid of the organs quickly, so I could be done,” said Aron Knorr, one of the former workers, who said the directive made him uncomfortable.

. . .

Dr. Alghidak Salama, who led South Florida’s organization until August [2024], said open offers were financially beneficial: When organizations distribute organs, they are paid a set fee by receiving hospitals, regardless of what costs they incur. Speeding up allocation (p. A11) saves money on staffing.

. . .

When hospitals get open offers, they often give organs to patients who are healthier than others needing transplants, The Times found. For example, 80 percent of all donated hearts in recent years went to patients sick enough to be hospitalized, records show. But when lists were skipped, it was less than 40 percent.

Healthier patients are likelier to help transplant centers perform well on one of their most important benchmarks: the percentage of patients who survive a year after surgery. The government monitors that rate, as do insurers, which can decline to pay low-performing hospitals.

. . .

Federal regulators have known since 2022 that more people were being skipped, according to meeting notes obtained by The Times. But until last week, they had done little to address it.

The U.S. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services monitors hospitals and procurement organizations. The Health Resources and Services Administration tracks the system overall. But for years, they deferred to UNOS.

Records show that when the system’s oversight committee reviews instances of bypassed patients, it closes more than 99.5 percent of cases without action, usually concluding that the organ was at risk of going to waste. In the last five years, the committee has never gone further than sending “notices of noncompliance,” the mildest action it can take.

“The oversight is almost nonexistent, and that’s been true basically forever,” said Dr. Seth Karp, a Vanderbilt University surgeon who served on the committee, which he noted is largely made up of transplant doctors and procurement officials policing themselves.

For the full story see:

Brian M. Rosenthal, Mark Hansen and Jeremy White. “Organ Transplant System ‘in Chaos’ As Waiting Lists Are Ignored.” The New York Times (Monday, March 10, 2025): A1 & A10-A11.

(Note: ellipses, and bracketed year, added.)

(Note: the online version of the story has the date Feb. 26, 2025, and has the same title as the print version.)